Prison
Prison population to top 100,000 by 2030
The prison population is projected to increase to between 98,000 and 103,600 by March 2030, with a central estimate of 100,600.
5th December 2025
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The prison population is projected to increase to between 98,000 and 103,600 by March 2030, with a central estimate of 100,600.
Dame Anne Owers Independent Prison Capacity Review identifies causes and makes recommendations.
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The prison population is projected to increase to between 94,600 and 114,800 by March 2028, with a central estimate of 105,800.
The Parliamentary Office of Science and Technology examines the prison population growth, its policy implications and the impact on people in prison.
Autumn 2023 Offender Management Statistics show the inexorable rise in the prison population and continued fall in probation caseload.
The prison population is projected to increase to 94,400 by March 2025 and between 93,100 to 106,300 by March 2027.
Official prison population projection predicts a short time fall in the prison population but acknowledges that recent policy announcements might reverse this.
Justice Committee calls for reinvestment in prisons and probation and ban on sentences less than one year.
Latest stats show 3% drops in prison population & probation caseload.
Despite decreases since the start of the year, the prison population is projected to steadily increase from its current level.
Pragmatic and incremental advice from the Criminal Justice Alliance on how to reduce the prison population by 12,000 over the next four years.
